How deep can bitcoin fall?

On Bitvavo's daily prices since 8 Mar 2019, bitcoin fell at most 73.6% below its top (21 Nov 2022). Right now it is 36.3% below the top. Pick a depth below and see how often and how long bitcoin was down there.

Depth below the top (%)

Share of days this deep or deeper

Number of days–

Longest unbroken stretch–

Deepest drop–

Below the top now–

Why this matters for a bot

A buy ladder buys into a drop and only sells above the buy price. How deep your ladder reaches decides how long your money keeps working when bitcoin falls. The bot in the logbook is designed to keep working down to about 40% below the top: at the top it puts in at most half, the rest only as the price drops. Deeper than that it has to wait for a recovery, and as this chart shows, that can take a long time.

Source: Bitvavo's public BTC-EUR daily candles (closing prices), 8 Mar 2019 – 5 Nov 2026.

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