# The Weekly 2% Edge

> The public logbook of a live BTC-EUR trading bot: realized profit per week as a percentage of the capital in play (after fees on the buy and the sell, rare forced loss sales included, published one week late), the open positions next to it, and the measured places where profit leaked away. Percentages only; no signals, no advice. Data read on 2026-11-06.

The site is written and run by a private investor with a background in finance, who keeps their name off the site on purpose. They built the bot with Replit's AI agent; it runs on Replit and has traded BTC-EUR on Bitvavo with real money since April 2026. The name promised 2% a week; the site is the measuring tape, not a return promise.

## Key pages
- [The logbook](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/): every week since W17 2026 in a chart and table, realized vs. open positions, the 4 measured leaks, and returns per strategy over the last 90 days
- [Method](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/method/): how every number is computed, what is included and what is never shown
- [Weekly series (CSV)](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/weekly-series.csv): week, Monday it starts, realized % of capital in play
- [Build kit](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/build-kit/): a step-by-step plan an AI assistant executes to build your own version of this bot; $14 one-off, no subscription; engineering documentation, not signals or a return promise
- [How it works](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/how-it-works/): the bot's dashboard as a snapshot at least 24 hours old (exposure, buy ladder, open sell orders, every sale), how a trade runs, why bitcoin, and each design decision with its date
- Dutch version: https://mijnbitcoinstrategie.nl/

## Current figures (W17 to W43 2026, 27 weeks)
- Median week: +0.45% realized; average week +0.48%
- Goal of 0.5% a week reached in 11 of 27 weeks; no week reached the 2% in the name
- Best week +1.32%, worst week -0.09%
- Open positions over 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-06 (not delayed): between -6.89% and -1.94% of the account versus what was paid
- Exposure at the dashboard snapshot (2026-11-05 18:50 UTC): 84.0% of capital
- Realized annualised volatility of BTC-EUR: 43% (364 daily returns up to 2026-11-06, Bitvavo daily candles)

## Method in short
- Weekly figure = realized profit of positions sold that week (Monday to Sunday), after exchange fees on both sides, divided by the capital in play that week
- Positions count in the week they are sold; rare forced loss sales are included
- Open (unrealized) positions are shown separately because the bot normally only sells above its buy price
- Return per trade (strategy table) = net profit divided by the amount invested in those trades, after fees, closed trades only

## Rules
- Percentages only: never euro amounts, account size or order details
- Weekly results one week delayed: a week appears seven days after it ends
- No signals, no advice, no copy-trading, no investment service; the build kit is software documentation
- The build kit is documentation for building and running your own software; dashboard data is at least 24 hours old
- Past weeks say nothing about future weeks; crypto is volatile; no leverage, but you can lose a large part of what you put in

## Data freshness
- Latest week shown: W43 2026 (week starting 2026-10-19)
- The page is checked daily and rebuilt only when a new week becomes eligible; this file is regenerated in the same run
- The weekly series and summaries come from the dashboard at build time; leak measurements retain their stated measurement dates
- Weekly results are delayed seven days; the open-position range and the strategy table are current as of the build date


## More
- [Weekly results](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/week/): every logbook week on its own page, with what bitcoin did that week
- [Tools](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/tools/): grid bot simulator on real prices, bitcoin drawdown, trading fee calculator
- [Guides](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/guides/): build a bitcoin trading bot with AI, grid bot vs DCA, bitcoin bot without leverage
- Dataset on Zenodo: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.24021834
- [Open data and MCP](https://theweekly2pctedge.com/developers/): /api/v1/weekly.json, /api/v1/decisions.json, /api/v1/btc-daily.json
- MCP server (Streamable HTTP, read-only, no key): https://theweekly2pctedge.com/mcp